Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 16

Date: 23 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal Cartagonova (Cartagena)

Referee: Palencia Caballero D. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, Gol Stadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+ 1


	Cartagena		Almería

	1	X	2
	4.5	4	1.65	Watch
	4.5	3.8	1.63
	4.75	4	1.66	Watch
	4.99	4.02	1.69
	4.82	4	1.69	Watch
	4.33	3.6	1.75
	4.62	4.05	1.7	Watch
	4.75	4	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.66 ↑ (4.09)	3.93 ↑ (3.41)	1.68 ↓ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Cartagena
20.2%

Draw
23.9%

Almería
56%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.7%

27.2%

50.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.3%

26.7%

51.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Almería has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Almería's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almería than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	4.3%	95.7%

Cartagena - Almería Predictions

Users Predictions: Almería will win (22 of 23 users predict this - 95.65%).
Confidence interval (95%): 87.31% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cunat P. (G) 2. Moreno J. 4. Alcala P. (C) 24. Sipcic N. 20. Izquierdo J. 23. Teguia C. 6. Mini 18. Musto D. 34. Gonzalez H. 7. Valles G. 10. Escriche D.	13. Martinez F. (G) 18. Pubill M. 21. Chumi (C) 3. Gonzalez E. 20. Centelles A. 2. Puigmal A. 6. Lopy D. 15. Baba I. 11. Arribas S. 12. Leo Baptistao 9. Suarez L.
Substitutes
19. Aguirregabiria M. 17. Andy 40. Fuidias T. (G) 28. Hernandez J. 8. Munoz L. 22. Olivas K. 9. Ortuno A. 30. Reyes J. (G) 37. Roman P. 27. Sanchez Alcaraz C.	28. Fettal R. 27. Gui Guedes 31. Iribarne B. (G) 4. Kaiky 24. Langa B. 19. Marezi 1. Maximiano L. (G) 10. Melamed N. 36. Perovic M. 17. Pozo A. 34. Quintanilla R. 16. Radovanovic A.
Coaches
Jandro	Rubi

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', Gonzalez E. 🟨,
24', 0 - 1, Arribas S. ⚽, Centelles A. (A),
35', 1 - 1, Valles G. ⚽, Teguia C. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', Musto D. 🟨,
54', Mini 🟨,
60', Leo Baptistao ↓, Melamed N. ↑,
60', Puigmal A. ↓, Pozo A. ↑,
65', 1 - 2, Suarez L. ⚽,
70', Mini ↓, Munoz L. ↑,
70', Musto D. ↓, Andy ↑,
77', Gonzalez H. ↓, Roman P. ↑,
82', Teguia C. ↓, Ortuno A. ↑,
83', Pubill M. ↓, Kaiky ↑,
90', Suarez L. ↓, Gui Guedes ↑,
90', Arribas S. ↓, Marezi ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cartagena won 2.

Recent matches Cartagena is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Almería is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Cartagena could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Almería is a favorite.

There will not play in Almería: Robertone L. (Shoulder Injury)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Cartagena won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:9 (average 1.1:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Cartagena won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:7 (average 1.5:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Cartagena
Spanish LaLiga2
17.11.24	Cartagena - Huesca	1:0 ✺
09.11.24	Málaga - Cartagena	1:0 ✺
02.11.24	Cartagena - Deportivo A Coruña	1:5 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.24	Beasain - Cartagena	0:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
26.10.24	Mirandés - Cartagena	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLLWL
- UD Almería
Spanish LaLiga2
17.11.24	Almería - Deportivo A Coruña	2:1 ✺
08.11.24	Elche - Almería	1:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.24	San Sebastian Reyes - Almería	1:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
27.10.24	Huesca - Almería	2:2 ✺
24.10.24	Almería - Albacete Balompié	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
04.08.24	Cartagena - Almería	1:1
05.08.22	Almería - Cartagena	1:0
Spanish LaLiga2
02.01.22	Almería - Cartagena	0:1
16.08.21	Cartagena - Almería	1:3
18.05.21	Cartagena - Almería	3:2
21.10.20	Almería - Cartagena	1:1
21.04.12	Cartagena - Almería	1:1

Upcoming Matches