Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 22

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: UD Almería Stadium (Almería)

Referee: Gonzalez M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 9
Austria	DAZN
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Finland	MTV Urheilu 3
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Portugal	DAZN / App
Serbia	Arena Sport 1x2
Singapore	beIN Sports 2
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2
Sweden	TV4 Sportkanalen
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter


	Almería		Deportivo A Coruña

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.4	3.9	Watch
	2	3.45	3.45
	1.99	3.62	3.65	Watch
	1.95	3.3	3.7
	2.01	3.49	3.74	Watch
	2	3.5	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.91)	3.46 ↓ (3.48)	3.67 ↓ (3.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almería
47.4%

Draw
27.1%

Deportivo A Coruña
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

26.7%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

26.6%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almería has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Deportivo A Coruña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almería than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo A Coruña than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.7%	25%	6.2%

Almería - Deportivo A Coruña Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Almería will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Deportivo will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Almería: 46.1% – 91.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH +0.5 - Deportivo (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Almería will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Almería (votes: 3 - 75%). Deportivo (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fernandez A. (G) 22. Chirino D. 4. Monte N. 3. Munoz A. 20. Centelles A. 14. Baba I. 29. Dzodic S. 23. Embarba A. 11. Arribas S. 6. Horta A. 12. Leo Baptistao (C)	24. Fernandez A. (G) 19. Cruz Luismi 2. Altimira A. 3. Comas A. 15. Loureiro M. 12. Quagliata G. 22. Stoichkov 20. Jurado J. (C) 21. Soriano M. 10. Hernandez Y. 9. Eddahchouri Z.
Substitutes
24. de la Fuente M. 8. Gui Guedes 15. Hernandez A. 31. Iribarne B. (G) 16. Luna M. 13. Martinez F. (G) 10. Melamed N. 7. Morcillo J. 36. Perovic M. 2. Puigmal A. 19. Soko P. 9. Thalys	5. Barcia D. 37. Carillo N. 18. Escudero S. 16. Gragera J. 17. Herrera C. 11. Mella D. 7. Mulattieri S. 4. Noubi L. 32. Nsongo B. 1. Parreno G. (G) 6. Patino C. 8. Villares D.
Coaches
Rubi	Hidalgo A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', Chirino D. 🟨,
13', 1 - 0, Leo Baptistao ⚽, Embarba A. (A),
36', Baba I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
49', 1 - 1, Hernandez Y. ⚽, Soriano M. (A),
50', Hernandez Y. 🟨,
56', Horta A. ↓, Puigmal A. ↑,
58', Comas A. 🟨,
70', Leo Baptistao ↓, de la Fuente M. ↑,
70', Embarba A. ↓, Melamed N. ↑,
71', Stoichkov ↓, Mella D. ↑,
71', Eddahchouri Z. ↓, Mulattieri S. ↑,
76', Monte N. 🟨,
80', 1 - 2, Mulattieri S. ⚽, Hernandez Y. (A),
83', Cruz Luismi ↓, Villares D. ↑,
83', Jurado J. ↓, Patino C. ↑,
84', Baba I. ↓, Thalys ↑,
84', Centelles A. ↓, Morcillo J. ↑,
86', Mulattieri S. 🟨,
90+1', Soriano M. ↓, Carillo N. ↑,
90+5', Arribas S. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almería won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Deportivo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Almería will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Almería: Bonini F. (Hamstring Injury) Chumi (Knock) Fidel Cedillo Segura P. (Injury) Lopy D. (Muscle Injury) Melamed N. (Muscle Injury) Robertone L. (Injury)

There will not play in Deportivo: Bachmann D. (Injury) Navarro X. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Almería won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:6. (average 1.2:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Almería won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 1.8:0.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Almeria	9	7	0	2	16:5	11	21

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Almería
Spanish LaLiga2
10.01.26	Mirandés - Almería	2:2 ✺
03.01.26	Almería - Granada	3:2 ✺
21.12.25	Málaga - Almería	2:1 ✺
14.12.25	Almería - Burgos	1:2 ✺
06.12.25	FC Andorra - Almería	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TWLLW
- Deportivo A Coruña
Spanish Copa del Rey
13.01.26	Deportivo A Coruña - Atlético Madrid	0:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
10.01.26	Las Palmas - Deportivo A Coruña	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	Deportivo A Coruña - Cádiz	2:2 ✺
20.12.25	FC Andorra - Deportivo A Coruña	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
16.12.25	Deportivo A Coruña - Mallorca	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
04.10.25	Deportivo A Coruña - Almería	1:1
09.02.25	Deportivo A Coruña - Almería	3:1
17.11.24	Almería - Deportivo A Coruña	2:1
07.03.20	Almería - Deportivo A Coruña	4:0
06.10.19	Deportivo A Coruña - Almería	0:0
22.03.19	Deportivo A Coruña - Almería	0:0
19.11.18	Almería - Deportivo A Coruña	1:1

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