Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 14

Date: 9 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio La Rosaleda (Málaga)

Referee: Moreno A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Spain	DAZN Espana, Gol Stadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2, Movistar Plus+ 1
World	Disney+


	Málaga		Cartagena

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.6	5.75	Watch
	1.58	3.5	5.75
	1.62	3.6	5.5	Watch
	1.63	3.75	6.3
	1.71	3.62	5.34	Watch
	1.8	3.3	4.5
	1.64	3.7	5.9	Watch
	1.62	3.6	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.85)	3.58 ↑ (3.33)	5.57 ↑ (4.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Málaga
56.9%

Draw
26.2%

Cartagena
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

28.5%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

27.7%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Málaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Málaga's performance.

Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.7%	11.8%	23.5%

Málaga - Cartagena Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Málaga will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Cartagena will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Málaga: 42% – 87.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Herrero A. (C) 2. Gabilondo J. 20. Monte N. 4. Galilea E. 18. Sanchez D. 12. Molina M. 19. Luismi 24. Lobete J. 10. Larrubia D. 11. Villodres K. 17. Dioni	1. Cunat P. (G) 2. Moreno J. 4. Alcala P. 24. Sipcic N. 12. Vukcevic A. 23. Teguia C. 18. Musto D. 6. Mini 34. Gonzalez H. 7. Valles G. 10. Escriche D.
Substitutes
9. Baturina R. 25. Castel S. 26. Cordero A. 14. Garcia V. 13. Lopez C. (G) 29. Merino I. 15. Moussa D. 35. Ochoa A. 5. Pastor A. 3. Puga C. 21. Rahmani Y. 23. Sangalli L.	17. Andy 40. Fuidias T. (G) 28. Hernandez J. 20. Izquierdo J. 22. Olivas K. 9. Ortuno A. 30. Reyes J. (G) 3. Rios Reina J. 37. Roman P. 27. Sanchez Alcaraz C.
Coaches
Pellicer S.	Jandro

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', Teguia C. 🟨,
19', Dioni (Pen),
23', Vukcevic A. 🟨,
33', Molina M. 🟨,
45+5', 1 - 0, Monte N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Mini 🟨,
63', Lobete J. ↓, Baturina R. ↑,
64', Molina M. ↓, Merino I. ↑,
64', Teguia C. ↓, Izquierdo J. ↑,
68', Musto D. ↓, Andy ↑,
76', Gonzalez H. ↓, Roman P. ↑,
79', Dioni ↓, Sangalli L. ↑,
79', Villodres K. ↓, Cordero A. ↑,
83', Baturina R. 🟨,
87', Larrubia D. ↓, Rahmani Y. ↑,
90+2', Gabilondo J. 🟨,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 13 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Málaga won 1.

Recent matches Málaga is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cartagena is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Málaga could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Málaga is a favorite.

There are questionable in Málaga: Abaida H. (Muscle Injury)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Málaga won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:9 (average 1:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Málaga won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Málaga CF
Spanish Copa del Rey
31.10.24	Estepona - Málaga	3:2 ET ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
27.10.24	Málaga - Eibar	1:0 ✺
24.10.24	Tenerife - Málaga	0:0 ✺
19.10.24	Málaga - Real Oviedo	0:0 ✺
12.10.24	Cádiz - Málaga	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 LWTTT
- FC Cartagena
Spanish LaLiga2
02.11.24	Cartagena - Deportivo A Coruña	1:5 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.24	Beasain - Cartagena	0:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
26.10.24	Mirandés - Cartagena	3:1 ✺
23.10.24	Cartagena - Elche	0:0 ✺
18.10.24	Córdoba - Cartagena	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
16.04.23	Málaga - Cartagena	1:0
03.11.22	Cartagena - Málaga	2:1
28.02.22	Málaga - Cartagena	1:1
07.11.21	Cartagena - Málaga	3:1
27.03.21	Cartagena - Málaga	1:1
05.12.20	Málaga - Cartagena	1:2

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