Match Info

Date: 8 March 2020, Sunday


	Cartagena		Unión Magdalena

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.9	2.65
	2.65	3	2.5
	2.69	2.9	2.48
	2.85	3.08	2.62
	2.75	3	2.5
	2.71	3.1	2.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.39)	3 ↓ (3.03)	2.55 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cartagena
33.8%

Draw
30.4%

Unión Magdalena
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

29.8%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7%

21.8%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Unión Magdalena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cartagena that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Magdalena than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Unión Magdalena could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cartagena - Unión Magdalena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Cartagena
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
08.03.20	Córdoba - Cartagena	0:2 ✺
Colombian Copa
04.03.20	Cartagena - Atlético Cali	1:1 ✺
Colombian Primera B
01.03.20	Llaneros de Guanare - Cartagena	2:0 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
01.03.20	Cartagena - Marbella	0:0 ✺
Colombian Primera B
23.02.20	Cartagena - Valledupar	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WTLTL
- Unión Magdalena
Colombian Copa
04.03.20	Bogotá - Unión Magdalena	3:1 ✺
Colombian Primera B
01.03.20	Unión Magdalena - Boca Juniors	2:0 ✺
24.02.20	Orsomarso - Unión Magdalena	2:2 ✺
Colombian Copa
19.02.20	Unión Magdalena - Bogotá	3:0 ✺
Colombian Primera B
13.02.20	Unión Magdalena - Deportes Quindío	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Copa
24.04.19	Cartagena - Unión Magdalena	0:0
10.04.19	Unión Magdalena - Cartagena	1:1
Colombian Primera B
23.09.18	Cartagena - Unión Magdalena	1:1
29.04.18	Unión Magdalena - Cartagena	2:0
21.08.17	Cartagena - Unión Magdalena	1:0
03.07.17	Cartagena - Unión Magdalena	0:0
02.04.17	Unión Magdalena - Cartagena	2:0

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