Match Info

Date: 1 March 2020, Sunday


	Unión Magdalena		Boca Juniors

	1	X	2
	1.26	5	8.25
	1.25	4.7	9
	1.28	4.58	8.37
	1.26	5.27	11.95
	1.27	5	9
	1.3	5	8.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.71)	4.93 ↑ (3.53)	9.25 ↑ (4.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión Magdalena
71.7%

Draw
18.5%

Boca Juniors
9.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

25.8%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.8%

20.3%

16.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Magdalena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Unión Magdalena's performance.

Boca Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Boca Juniors might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Magdalena than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Boca Juniors could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88%	0%	12%

Unión Magdalena - Boca Juniors Predictions

Users Predictions: Unión Magdalena will win (22 of 25 users predict this - 88%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.26% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión Magdalena
Colombian Primera B
24.02.20	Orsomarso - Unión Magdalena	2:2 ✺
Colombian Copa
19.02.20	Unión Magdalena - Bogotá	3:0 ✺
Colombian Primera B
13.02.20	Unión Magdalena - Deportes Quindío	1:1 ✺
09.02.20	Unión Magdalena - Tigres	1:0 ✺
31.01.20	Llaneros de Guanare - Unión Magdalena	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TWTWL
- Boca Juniors
Argentinian Liga Profesional
28.02.20	Colón - Boca Juniors	0:4 ✺
23.02.20	Boca Juniors - Godoy Cruz	3:0 ✺
Colombian Primera B
23.02.20	Boca Juniors - Llaneros de Guanare	1:1 ✺
Colombian Copa
19.02.20	Boca Juniors - Leones	0:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
16.02.20	Central Córdoba - Boca Juniors	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWTTW

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