Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 23

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday


	Real Murcia B		Pulpileño

	1	X	2
	2.28	2.88	3.1
	2.41	2.91	3.04	Watch
	2.38	2.9	2.8
	2.46	3.24	2.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (1.85)	2.98 ↓ (3.3)	2.94 ↓ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Murcia B
38.3%

Draw
30.6%

Pulpileño
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

27.4%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

27.1%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Murcia B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Murcia B's form might have worsened.

Pulpileño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pulpileño's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Murcia B than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Murcia B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pulpileño than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pulpileño, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Real Murcia B - Pulpileño Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Rubira R. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
48', 2 - 0, Meca A. ⚽,
76', 3 - 0, Yoldi A. ⚽,
81', 3 - 1, Hernandez R. ⚽,
90', 3 - 2, Cesar J. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 13 (Play Offs: ) and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Murcia B won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Pulpileño may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Murcia B is the team to beat.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Murcia B won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 0.8:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Murcia B won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.8:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Pulpileno	5	2	2	1	6:4	2	8

Last Results with these Odds

Pulpileño - the odds 3.8 are the expected chance of winning is 23.78%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Murcia B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
08.02.26	Real Murcia B - UCAM Murcia B	2:0 ✺
01.02.26	Mazarrón - Real Murcia B	3:2 ✺
25.01.26	Real Murcia B - El Palmar	0:0 ✺
18.01.26	Deportivo Marítimo - Real Murcia B	2:1 ✺
14.01.26	Real Murcia B - Caravaca	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLTLW
- CA Pulpileño
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
01.02.26	Pulpileño - Muleño	2:0 ✺
25.01.26	Pulpileño - Águilas B	1:0 ✺
21.01.26	Pulpileño - Unión Molinense	0:1 ✺
18.01.26	UCAM Murcia B - Pulpileño	2:0 ✺
11.01.26	Mazarrón - Pulpileño	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
11.10.25	Pulpileño - Real Murcia B	1:0
23.02.25	Pulpileño - Real Murcia B	0:1
13.10.24	Real Murcia B - Pulpileño	1:1
18.02.24	Real Murcia B - Pulpileño	1:1
01.10.23	Pulpileño - Real Murcia B	1:1
26.02.23	Real Murcia B - Pulpileño	0:1
30.10.22	Pulpileño - Real Murcia B	1:1

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