Match Info

Date: 16 January 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Cartagena FC		Ciudad de Murcia

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.2	3.25
	1.97	3.1	3.15
	1.98	3	3.45
	2.14	2.98	3.25
	2.12	3.1	3.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (2.02)	3.08 ↓ (3.24)	3.3 ↓ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cartagena FC
43.9%

Draw
29.1%

Ciudad de Murcia
27.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45%

28%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

23.2%

39.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cartagena FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Ciudad de Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cartagena FC than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cartagena FC that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ciudad de Murcia than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ciudad de Murcia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cartagena FC - Ciudad de Murcia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 13 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Recent matches Cartagena FC is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ciudad de Murcia is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cartagena FC will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Cartagena FC won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Cartagena FC won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cartagena FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
19.12.21	Bullense - Cartagena FC	1:2 ✺
12.12.21	Cartagena FC - Cartagena B	0:3 ✺
05.12.21	La Unión - Cartagena FC	1:0 ✺
28.11.21	Cartagena FC - Lorca Deportiva	0:0 ✺
21.11.21	Racing Murcia - Cartagena FC	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLLTT
- CAP Ciudad de Murcia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
09.01.22	Ciudad de Murcia - Minera	2:2 ✺
19.12.21	Ciudad de Murcia - El Palmar	2:0 ✺
11.12.21	Archena Sport - Ciudad de Murcia	2:2 ✺
03.12.21	Ciudad de Murcia - Huércal-Overa	3:0 ✺
28.11.21	UCAM Murcia B - Ciudad de Murcia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
31.01.21	Ciudad de Murcia - Cartagena FC	0:1
01.11.20	Cartagena FC - Ciudad de Murcia	1:1
05.12.19	Ciudad de Murcia - Cartagena FC	0:0

Cartagena FC - Ciudad de Murcia

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Cartagena FC - Ciudad de Murcia Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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