Match Info

Date: 28 November 2021, Sunday


	Cartagena FC		Lorca Deportiva

	1	X	2
	1.85	2.9	4.2
	1.86	2.75	4
	1.83	2.9	4.1
	1.83	3	4.32
	1.85	3.28	4.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (3.07)	2.97 ↑ (2.86)	4.15 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cartagena FC
48.4%

Draw
30.1%

Lorca Deportiva
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.3%

30.4%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.8%

22.4%

56.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cartagena FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cartagena FC's performance.

Lorca Deportiva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lorca Deportiva might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cartagena FC than the current prediction. (-27.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cartagena FC that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorca Deportiva than the current prediction. (+34.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lorca Deportiva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cartagena FC - Lorca Deportiva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 7 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 13 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Cartagena FC is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lorca Deportiva is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Cartagena FC will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cartagena FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
21.11.21	Racing Murcia - Cartagena FC	2:2 ✺
14.11.21	Cartagena FC - Real Murcia B	2:0 ✺
07.11.21	Los Garres - Cartagena FC	2:1 ✺
31.10.21	Minera - Cartagena FC	0:1 ✺
24.10.21	Cartagena FC - El Palmar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TWLWW
- CF Lorca Deportiva
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
21.11.21	Lorca Deportiva - Minera	4:1 ✺
14.11.21	El Palmar - Lorca Deportiva	0:0 ✺
06.11.21	Lorca Deportiva - Archena Sport	2:1 ✺
31.10.21	Huércal-Overa - Lorca Deportiva	0:2 ✺
24.10.21	Lorca Deportiva - UCAM Murcia B	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WTWWW

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