Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 10

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Francisco Artés Carrasco (Lorca)


	Lorca Deportiva		Minera

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.15	2.68
	2.47	3.22	2.82
	2.52	3.00	2.76	Watch
	2.41	3.08	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↓ (2.52)	3.11 ↑ (3)	2.74 ↓ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorca Deportiva
37.3%

Draw
29.3%

Minera
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

30.5%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

29.7%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorca Deportiva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Minera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Lorca Deportiva aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minera than the current prediction. (-1%)

Lorca Deportiva - Minera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
57', 1 - 0, Acevedo J. ⚽,
77', 1 - 1, Zorrilla O. ⚽,
88', 2 - 1, Escobar Hernandez J. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lorca Deportiva won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Lorca Deportiva won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:5. (average 1.9:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Lorca Deportiva won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:2. (average 2.8:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Lorca Deportiva
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
02.11.25	Estepona - Lorca Deportiva	1:3 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.25	Lorca Deportiva - Almería	0:2 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
19.10.25	Linares Deportivo - Lorca Deportiva	1:3 ✺
12.10.25	Lorca Deportiva - CD Extremadura	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Recreativo Huelva - Lorca Deportiva	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WLWTL
- CD Minera
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
02.11.25	Minera - Real Jaén	1:1 ✺
26.10.25	Xerez CD - Minera	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Minera - La Unión	1:0 ✺
12.10.25	Minera - Recreativo Huelva	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Linares Deportivo - Minera	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
06.04.24	Lorca Deportiva - Minera	0:0
19.11.23	Minera - Lorca Deportiva	1:0
18.03.23	Lorca Deportiva - Minera	5:0
20.11.22	Minera - Lorca Deportiva	1:2
03.04.22	Minera - Lorca Deportiva	1:1
21.11.21	Lorca Deportiva - Minera	4:1
03.11.19	Lorca Deportiva - Minera	2:0

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