Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 11

Date: 17 November 2024, Sunday


	El Palmar		Lorca Deportiva

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.25	2
	3.35	3.35	1.99
	3.21	3.23	2.04
	3.32	3.37	2.04	Watch
	3.26	3.34	2.03
	3.35	3.35	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.28 ↑ (2.59)	3.32 ↑ (3.09)	2.02 ↓ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

El Palmar
27.6%

Draw
27.4%

Lorca Deportiva
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

29.3%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

29.3%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

El Palmar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that El Palmar's form might have worsened.

Lorca Deportiva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lorca Deportiva's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Palmar than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for El Palmar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorca Deportiva than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lorca Deportiva, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

El Palmar - Lorca Deportiva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
80', 1 - 0, Abadia P. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 13 (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 13 (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches El Palmar won 0.

El Palmar is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Lorca Deportiva is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches El Palmar won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:11 (average 1.2:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams El Palmar won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EG El Palmar
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
09.11.24	Santomera - El Palmar	0:2 ✺
27.10.24	Real Murcia B - El Palmar	2:2 ✺
20.10.24	El Palmar - Cartagena B	1:1 ✺
13.10.24	Deportivo Marítimo - El Palmar	2:2 ✺
06.10.24	El Palmar - Cieza	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WTTTW
- CF Lorca Deportiva
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
09.11.24	Lorca Deportiva - Plus Ultra	5:2 ✺
26.10.24	Lorca Deportiva - Águilas B	0:0 ✺
20.10.24	Unión Molinense - Lorca Deportiva	1:0 ✺
13.10.24	Santomera - Lorca Deportiva	2:1 ✺
06.10.24	Lorca Deportiva - UCAM Murcia B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
07.01.24	El Palmar - Lorca Deportiva	1:1
15.01.23	Lorca Deportiva - El Palmar	1:1
18.09.22	El Palmar - Lorca Deportiva	2:3
27.03.22	Lorca Deportiva - El Palmar	4:1
14.11.21	El Palmar - Lorca Deportiva	0:0
06.10.19	Lorca Deportiva - El Palmar	2:2

Upcoming Matches