Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 10 - Round 27

Date: 23 March 2025, Sunday


	Utrera		Puente Genil

	1	X	2
	2.25	3	2.9
	2.13	3.2	3.1
				Watch
	2.18	3.18	3.08
	2.13	3.2	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.64)	3.15 ↑ (3.09)	3.05 ↑ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Utrera
41.6%

Draw
28.7%

Puente Genil
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

29.3%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

30%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Utrera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Utrera's performance.

Puente Genil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Puente Genil might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Utrera than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Utrera that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puente Genil than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Puente Genil could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Utrera - Puente Genil Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 10 (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 10 (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Utrera won 2.

Recent matches Utrera is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Puente Genil is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Utrera won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:12 (average 1.1:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Utrera won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:4 (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Utrera
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
16.03.25	Ciudad de Lucena - Utrera	2:0 ✺
08.03.25	Utrera - Ceuta B	4:3 ✺
02.03.25	Conil - Utrera	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	La Palma - Utrera	2:2 ✺
16.02.25	Utrera - San Roque de Lepe	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWTTT
- Puente Genil FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
16.03.25	Puente Genil - San Roque de Lepe	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	Tomares - Puente Genil	1:1 ✺
16.02.25	Puente Genil - Coria CF	4:0 ✺
09.02.25	Córdoba B - Puente Genil	1:1 ✺
02.02.25	Puente Genil - Espeleño	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
10.11.24	Puente Genil - Utrera	3:0
28.04.24	Utrera - Puente Genil	0:1
07.01.24	Puente Genil - Utrera	2:3
Club Friendly
05.08.22	Utrera - Puente Genil	2:2
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
20.03.22	Puente Genil - Utrera	1:2
21.11.21	Utrera - Puente Genil	0:1
17.02.19	Puente Genil - Utrera	1:2

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