Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 33

Date: 31 May 2025, Saturday


	Cartusia Kartuzy		Kotwica Kórnik

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.6	2.9
	2.6	3.6	2.28
	2.38	3.76	2.37
	2.44	3.85	2.39	Watch
	2.49	3.77	2.49	Watch
	2.6	3.6	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (1.97)	3.7 ↓ (3.8)	2.45 ↓ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cartusia Kartuzy
37.9%

Draw
24.8%

Kotwica Kórnik
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

24%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

22.7%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cartusia Kartuzy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cartusia Kartuzy's form might have worsened.

Kotwica Kórnik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kotwica Kórnik's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartusia Kartuzy than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cartusia Kartuzy, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kotwica Kórnik than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kotwica Kórnik, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Cartusia Kartuzy - Kotwica Kórnik Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Reclaw A. ⚽,
10', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
74', 🟥,
81', 2 - 1, ⚽,
82', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 13 and 14)

Cartusia Kartuzy has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Kotwica Kórnik is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Kotwica Kórnik may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Cartusia Kartuzy will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cartusia Kartuzy won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cartusia Kartuzy
Polish Division 3 - Group II
25.05.25	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Cartusia Kartuzy	1:2 ✺
21.05.25	Cartusia Kartuzy - Gedania Gdańsk	3:0 ✺
17.05.25	Lech Poznań 2 - Cartusia Kartuzy	2:0 ✺
10.05.25	Cartusia Kartuzy - Flota Świnoujście	0:2 ✺
01.05.25	Pogoń Szczecin II - Cartusia Kartuzy	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWLLT
- Kotwica Kórnik
Polish Division 3 - Group II
24.05.25	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Kotwica Kórnik	2:0 ✺
21.05.25	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Kotwica Kórnik	3:1 ✺
16.05.25	Kotwica Kórnik - Unia Swarzędz	3:3 ✺
10.05.25	Sokół Kleczew - Kotwica Kórnik	2:0 ✺
02.05.25	Kotwica Kórnik - Gryf Słupsk	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
09.11.24	Kotwica Kórnik - Cartusia Kartuzy	0:1

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