Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 31

Date: 21 May 2025, Wednesday


	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska		Kotwica Kórnik

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.7	2.05
	1.91	3.75	3.2
	2.52	4.79	2.09
	2.34	4.37	2.32	Watch
	2.36	3.68	2.41	Watch
	1.91	3.75	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (1.49)	4.01 ↓ (4.35)	2.55 ↓ (5.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polonia Środa Wielkopolska
40.5%

Draw
23.1%

Kotwica Kórnik
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.2%

21%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

19.9%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polonia Środa Wielkopolska has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Polonia Środa Wielkopolska's form might have worsened.

Kotwica Kórnik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kotwica Kórnik's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia Środa Wielkopolska than the current prediction. (+17.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Polonia Środa Wielkopolska, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kotwica Kórnik than the current prediction. (-17.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kotwica Kórnik, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Kotwica Kórnik Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Środa Wielkopolska will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Kotwica Kórnik will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Polonia Środa Wielkopolska will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Koltanski D. ⚽,
43', 1 - 1, Niemczyk M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
55', 2 - 1, Stangel M. ⚽,
60', 3 - 1, Stangel M. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 and 14).

Środa Wielkopolska has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Kotwica Kórnik is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Środa Wielkopolska is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Środa Wielkopolska won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polonia Środa Wielkopolska
Polish Division 3 - Group II
17.05.25	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	3:1 ✺
10.05.25	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Gedania Gdańsk	0:4 ✺
02.05.25	Lech Poznań 2 - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	1:1 ✺
27.04.25	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Flota Świnoujście	3:0 ✺
17.04.25	Pogoń Szczecin II - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LLTWT
- Kotwica Kórnik
Polish Division 3 - Group II
16.05.25	Kotwica Kórnik - Unia Swarzędz	3:3 ✺
10.05.25	Sokół Kleczew - Kotwica Kórnik	2:0 ✺
02.05.25	Kotwica Kórnik - Gryf Słupsk	2:1 ✺
26.04.25	Noteć Czarnków - Kotwica Kórnik	0:1 ✺
18.04.25	Kotwica Kórnik - Vineta Wolin	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
26.10.24	Kotwica Kórnik - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	0:5

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