Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 28

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday


	Cartusia Kartuzy		Lipno Stęszew

	1	X	2
	2.28	3.35	2.72
	2.39	3.21	2.63
	2.32	3.54	2.64	Watch
	2.3	3.1	2.63
	2.77	3.38	2.36	Watch
	2.26	3.41	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.26)	3.33 ↓ (3.41)	2.59 ↑ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cartusia Kartuzy
37.9%

Draw
27.1%

Lipno Stęszew
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

26%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

25.6%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cartusia Kartuzy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Lipno Stęszew has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartusia Kartuzy than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lipno Stęszew than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Cartusia Kartuzy - Lipno Stęszew Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', 0 - 1, Moczynski B. ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 11).

Cartusia Kartuzy has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Lipno Stęszew has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cartusia Kartuzy won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Lipno Steszew	11	1	2	8	11:23	-12	5

Last Results with these Odds

Cartusia Kartuzy - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 39.18%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cartusia Kartuzy
Polish Division 3 - Group II
18.04.26	Unia Swarzędz - Cartusia Kartuzy	4:1 ✺
11.04.26	Noteć Czarnków - Cartusia Kartuzy	3:2 ✺
04.04.26	Cartusia Kartuzy - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo	0:0 ✺
01.04.26	Cartusia Kartuzy - Września	0:3 ✺
28.03.26	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Cartusia Kartuzy	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTLL
- Lipno Stęszew
Polish Division 3 - Group II
18.04.26	Lipno Stęszew - Pogoń Szczecin II	1:0 ✺
11.04.26	Elana Toruń - Lipno Stęszew	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Lipno Stęszew - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	1:1 ✺
27.03.26	Tłuchowia Tłuchowo - Lipno Stęszew	3:1 ✺
21.03.26	Lipno Stęszew - Flota Świnoujście	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
04.10.25	Lipno Stęszew - Cartusia Kartuzy	1:0

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