Match Info

Date: 20 March 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Casale		Sestri Levante

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.1	3.6
	1.8	3.15	4.25
	1.85	3.05	3.55
	1.79	3.21	4.15
	1.8	3.5	3.75
	1.81	3.34	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (2.05)	3.23 ↑ (2.99)	3.93 ↑ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casale
49.2%

Draw
27.9%

Sestri Levante
22.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.2%

30.3%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

33%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Sestri Levante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casale than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sestri Levante than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Casale - Sestri Levante Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 7 and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Casale won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Sestri Levante could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Casale will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Casale won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Casale won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Casale
Italian Serie D - Group A
13.03.22	Casale - Lavagnese	1:0 ✺
09.03.22	Casale - Asti	0:0 ✺
06.03.22	PDHAE - Casale	0:0 ✺
02.03.22	Ligorna - Casale	1:1 ✺
27.02.22	Casale - Saluzzo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WTTTT
- USD Sestri Levante 1919
Italian Serie D - Group A
13.03.22	Sestri Levante - Asti	1:1 ✺
06.03.22	Novara - Sestri Levante	2:0 ✺
27.02.22	Sestri Levante - Chieri	1:1 ✺
20.02.22	Lavagnese - Sestri Levante	2:1 ✺
16.02.22	Sestri Levante - Gozzano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
10.11.21	Sestri Levante - Casale	0:0
10.04.21	Sestri Levante - Casale	3:1
13.12.20	Casale - Sestri Levante	0:0
06.01.19	Sestri Levante - Casale	1:4
16.09.18	Casale - Sestri Levante	1:0

Casale - Sestri Levante

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Casale - Sestri Levante Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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