Match Info

Date: 6 March 2022, Sunday


	Novara		Sestri Levante

	1	X	2
	1.41	4.1	6.25
	1.4	4.33	6
	1.39	3.86	5.71
	1.4	4.2	6
	1.47	4.15	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↑ (1.39)	4.13 ↑ (3.86)	5.99 ↑ (5.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Novara
63.4%

Draw
21.7%

Sestri Levante
14.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.4%

22.5%

15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

13.1%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Novara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Sestri Levante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Novara than the current prediction. (-27.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Novara that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sestri Levante than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sestri Levante could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Novara - Sestri Levante Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 13).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Novara could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Novara is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Novara won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Novara Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group A
02.03.22	Derthona - Novara	1:1 ✺
27.02.22	Ticino - Novara	0:0 ✺
20.02.22	Novara - Ligorna	0:1 ✺
16.02.22	Bra - Novara	1:1 ✺
13.02.22	Novara - Imperia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TTLTW
- USD Sestri Levante 1919
Italian Serie D - Group A
27.02.22	Sestri Levante - Chieri	1:1 ✺
20.02.22	Lavagnese - Sestri Levante	2:1 ✺
16.02.22	Sestri Levante - Gozzano	1:0 ✺
12.02.22	Saluzzo - Sestri Levante	0:1 ✺
06.02.22	Sestri Levante - Fossano	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
24.10.21	Sestri Levante - Novara	1:1

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