Match Info

Serie D - Group B - Round 8

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sportitalia Solo Calcio


	Casatese		Folgore Caratese

	1	X	2
	2.33	3.20	2.85	Watch
	2.32	3.15	2.86
	2.32	3.15	2.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.3)	3.17 ↓ (3.2)	2.86 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casatese
39.3%

Draw
28.8%

Folgore Caratese
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

28.6%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

27.7%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casatese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Folgore Caratese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casatese than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Folgore Caratese than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Casatese - Folgore Caratese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 0 - 1, Binous S. A. ⚽,
56', 1 - 1, Mendola N. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Casatese won 2.

Casatese is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Folgore Caratese's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Casatese may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Casatese won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Casatese won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Casatese - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 39.81%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Casatese
Italian Serie D - Group B
12.10.25	Real Calepina - Casatese	0:3 ✺
05.10.25	Casatese - Breno	2:1 ✺
28.09.25	Oltrepo - Casatese	1:3 ✺
24.09.25	Casatese - Milan Futuro	0:0 ✺
14.09.25	Casatese - Chievo	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWTL
- US Folgore Caratese ASD
Italian Serie D - Group B
12.10.25	Folgore Caratese - Chievo	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
08.10.25	Folgore Caratese - Club Milano	2:3 penalties ✺
Italian Serie D - Group B
05.10.25	Pavia - Folgore Caratese	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Folgore Caratese - Leon	0:0 ✺
24.09.25	Vogherese - Folgore Caratese	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
15.09.24	Casatese - Folgore Caratese	2:0
17.03.24	Folgore Caratese - Casatese	3:1
05.11.23	Casatese - Folgore Caratese	1:1
05.02.23	Casatese - Folgore Caratese	2:0
02.10.22	Folgore Caratese - Casatese	0:0
27.04.22	Folgore Caratese - Casatese	1:0
12.12.21	Casatese - Folgore Caratese	1:1

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