Match Info
Serie D - Group B - Play Offs - FinalDate: 17 May 2026, Sunday
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Casatese |
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Chievo |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.2 |
2.75 |
3.25 |
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2.2 |
2.82 |
3.3 |
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2.34 |
2.41 |
3.72 |
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2.5 |
2.27 |
3.97 |
 Watch |
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2.25 |
2.8 |
3.1 |
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2.09 |
3.05 |
3.4 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.26 ↑
(2.02) |
2.68 ↓
(3.1) |
3.46 ↓
(3.66) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Casatese
40% | Draw
33.8% | Chievo
26.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Casatese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Casatese's form might have worsened.Chievo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casatese than the current prediction. (+9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Casatese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chievo than the current prediction. (-3%)Casatese - Chievo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 11', 1 - 0, Avinci G. ⚽,
- 37', 1 - 1, Paloschi A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 73', 1 - 2, Paloschi A. ⚽,
- 87', 2 - 2, Avinci G. ⚽,
- Extra Time (0 - 1)
- 100', 2 - 3, Costantino R. ⚽,
Preview
Casatese is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).Chievo is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).Casatese may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.Recently, Casatese has had a series of home games. Casatese might have a minor edge in this game.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Casatese won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).Including home match between the teams, Casatese won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Chievo | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 14:6 | 8 | 15 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Casatese - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 45.38%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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