Match Info

ITALY: Serie D - Group B - Round 20

Date: 5 January 2025, Sunday


	Casatese		Pro Sesto

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.1	3.5
	1.97	3.2	3.6
				Watch
	1.91	3.2	3.5
	1.91	3.16	3.86
	1.97	3.2	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.29)	3.17 ↓ (3.18)	3.61 ↑ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Casatese
46.6%

Draw
28.5%

Pro Sesto
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

28.6%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

28.2%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casatese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Casatese's performance.

Pro Sesto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pro Sesto might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casatese than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Casatese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pro Sesto than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pro Sesto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Casatese - Pro Sesto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
71', 0 - 1, Busatto T. ⚽,
88', 1 - 1, Alessandro D. ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 8 and 6).

Casatese is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Pro Sesto is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Casatese won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:6 (average 1:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Casatese
Italian Serie D - Group B
22.12.24	Casatese - SantAngelo	1:0 ✺
15.12.24	Desenzano Calvina - Casatese	3:1 ✺
01.12.24	Breno - Casatese	1:1 ✺
17.11.24	Pro Palazzolo - Casatese	0:1 ✺
10.11.24	Casatese - Sangiuliano City Nova	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WLTWW
- Pro Sesto Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group B
22.12.24	Ciliverghe di Mazzano - Pro Sesto	1:2 ✺
15.12.24	Pro Sesto - Vigasio	1:1 ✺
01.12.24	Pro Sesto - Ospitaletto	0:1 ✺
17.11.24	Folgore Caratese - Pro Sesto	2:1 ✺
10.11.24	Pro Sesto - Cavenago Fanfulla	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
08.09.24	Pro Sesto - Casatese	3:1
Club Friendly
11.08.22	Pro Sesto - Casatese	3:1

Casatese - Pro Sesto: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide