The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Breno 31.1%
Draw 28.5%
Casatese 40.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32%
26.6%
41.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.6%
26.1%
40.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Breno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
Casatese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Breno than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casatese than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Breno - Casatese Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
89', 0 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Breno won 1.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Casatese may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Breno won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1.2:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Breno won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Breno - the odds 2.82 are the expected chance of winning is 32.02%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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