Match Info

ITALY: Serie D - Group B - Round 14

Date: 17 November 2024, Sunday


	Folgore Caratese		Pro Sesto

	1	X	2
	2.6	3	2.4
	2.7	3.05	2.5
	2.73	3.13	2.48	Watch
	2.7	3.1	2.4
	2.66	3.08	2.45
	2.7	3.05	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↓ (2.7)	3.07 ↑ (3.07)	2.46 ↓ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Folgore Caratese
33.7%

Draw
29.5%

Pro Sesto
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

29.6%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

30.1%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Folgore Caratese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

The chances for Pro Sesto have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Folgore Caratese than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pro Sesto than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Folgore Caratese - Pro Sesto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Lipari F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', 2 - 0, Simeri S. ⚽,
90+2', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Folgore Caratese won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Pro Sesto could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Folgore Caratese won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:10 (average 0.7:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Folgore Caratese won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4 (average 0.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Folgore Caratese ASD
Italian Serie D - Group B
27.10.24	Folgore Caratese - Cavenago Fanfulla	5:1 ✺
23.10.24	Varesina - Folgore Caratese	1:0 ✺
20.10.24	Folgore Caratese - SantAngelo	3:1 ✺
13.10.24	Breno - Folgore Caratese	1:0 ✺
06.10.24	Folgore Caratese - Chievo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLWLW
- Pro Sesto Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group B
10.11.24	Pro Sesto - Cavenago Fanfulla	1:1 ✺
27.10.24	Pro Sesto - Desenzano Calvina	1:1 ✺
23.10.24	Chievo - Pro Sesto	1:0 ✺
19.10.24	Pro Sesto - Varesina	1:0 ✺
13.10.24	Sangiuliano City Nova - Pro Sesto	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
27.10.19	Folgore Caratese - Pro Sesto	0:0
Italian Serie D - Group A
29.04.18	Pro Sesto - Folgore Caratese	4:1
10.12.17	Folgore Caratese - Pro Sesto	2:1
19.02.17	Pro Sesto - Folgore Caratese	2:0
15.10.16	Folgore Caratese - Pro Sesto	1:3
Italian Serie D - Group B
06.03.16	Folgore Caratese - Pro Sesto	0:0

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