Match Info
Serie D - Group B - Play Offs - Semi-finalsDate: 10 May 2026, Sunday
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Casatese |
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Leon |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.85 |
3.25 |
3.7 |
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1.85 |
3.36 |
3.92 |
 Watch |
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1.85 |
3.24 |
3.97 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.85
(1.85) |
3.28 ↑
(3.25) |
3.86 ↑
(3.7) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Casatese
49% | Draw
27.6% | Leon
23.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Casatese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Leon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casatese than the current prediction. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leon than the current prediction. (-0.3%)Casatese - Leon Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:-1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 2', 1 - 0, Avinci G. ⚽,
- 4', 2 - 0, Mendola N. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 67', 3 - 0, Avinci G. ⚽,
- 71', 4 - 0, Gningue M. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
Casatese has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).Leon's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).Leon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Casatese is a strong favorite.In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Casatese won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).Including home matches between the teams, Casatese won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 6 | Leon | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 9 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Italian Serie D - Group B | | | 03.05.26 | Casatese - Leon | 1:0 | | 21.12.25 | Leon - Casatese | 0:0 | | 08.05.22 | Leon - Casatese | 2:4 | | 22.12.21 | Casatese - Leon | 0:1 |
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