Match Info

Date: 13 March 2022, Sunday


	Cascina Valdera		Arezzo

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.4	1.8
	3.5	3.4	1.88
	3.4	3.28	1.85
	3.5	3.6	1.8
	3.58	3.58	1.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.52 ↓ (4.72)	3.45 ↓ (3.7)	1.84 ↑ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cascina Valdera
25.5%

Draw
25.9%

Arezzo
48.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.4%

24.8%

55.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

15.6%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cascina Valdera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cascina Valdera's performance.

Arezzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arezzo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cascina Valdera than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cascina Valdera, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arezzo than the current prediction. (-13.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arezzo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Cascina Valdera - Arezzo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Play Out and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Play Offs).

Recent matches Cascina Valdera is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Arezzo is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Arezzo will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Cascina Valdera won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cascina Valdera ASD
Italian Serie D - Group E
06.03.22	Cannara - Cascina Valdera	0:0 ✺
26.02.22	Cascina Valdera - SanGiovanniValdarno	1:0 ✺
20.02.22	Scandicci - Cascina Valdera	1:3 ✺
13.02.22	Cascina Valdera - Foligno	1:2 ✺
06.02.22	Pianese - Cascina Valdera	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TWWLL
- SS Arezzo
Italian Serie D - Group E
06.03.22	Arezzo - Follonica Gavorrano	1:1 ✺
26.02.22	Foligno - Arezzo	0:4 ✺
20.02.22	Arezzo - Rieti	1:0 ✺
13.02.22	Montespaccato - Arezzo	1:1 ✺
06.02.22	Arezzo - UniPomezia	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
31.10.21	Arezzo - Cascina Valdera	3:0

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