Match Info

Date: 2 February 2022, Wednesday


	Casertana		Città di Fasano

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.2	3.25
	1.8	3.6	3.6
	1.91	3.2	3.4
	1.89	3.02	3.96
	1.91	3.1	3.5
	1.9	3.52	3.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.73)	3.27 ↓ (3.28)	3.56 ↓ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casertana
47.3%

Draw
27.4%

Città di Fasano
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

26.7%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

17.7%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casertana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Città di Fasano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casertana than the current prediction. (-13.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Casertana that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Città di Fasano than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Città di Fasano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 6 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Play Offs).

Recent matches Casertana is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Città di Fasano is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Casertana will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Casertana
Italian Serie D - Group H
30.01.22	Nola - Casertana	2:0 ✺
23.01.22	San Giorgio - Casertana	0:1 ✺
22.12.21	Casertana - Molfetta	2:4 ✺
19.12.21	Rotonda - Casertana	1:1 ✺
12.12.21	Casertana - Sorrento	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWLTW
- US Città di Fasano
Italian Serie D - Group H
30.01.22	Città di Fasano - Audace Cerignola	3:3 ✺
23.01.22	Città di Fasano - Gravina	5:2 ✺
22.12.21	Nardo - Città di Fasano	2:0 ✺
18.12.21	Città di Fasano - Casarano	3:2 ✺
12.12.21	Bisceglie - Città di Fasano	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TWLWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Casertana
Italian Serie C Group C
10.10.26	Casertana - Monopoli	✺

Casertana - Città di Fasano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide