Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 34

Date: 30 March 2026, Monday

Location: Stadio Alberto Pinto (Caserta)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252


	Casertana		Sorrento

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.58	3.8	5.3	Watch
	1.53	4.07	6.4
	1.56	3.83	5.36	Watch
	1.53	3.6	5
	1.5	3.74	5.98	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.63)	3.81 ↑ (3.52)	5.61 ↑ (5.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casertana
59.6%

Draw
24.1%

Sorrento
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

26%

17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

25.1%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casertana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Sorrento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casertana than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sorrento than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.1%	2.6%	5.3%

Casertana - Sorrento Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

EH -1 - Casertana (2.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Sorrento (1.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -2 - draw (4.85) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

Users Predictions: Casertana will win (35 of 37 users predict this - 94.59%).
Confidence interval (95%): 87.3% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Casertana will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Casertana (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Sorrento (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. De Lucia V. (G) 6. Heinz J. 13. Bacchetti L. (C) 23. Martino P. 18. Oukhadda S. 25. Toscano M. 16. Pezzella S. 21. Girelli S. 5. Llano Massa M. T. 7. Butic K. 90. Casarotto M.	1. Del Sorbo L. (G) 25. Diop S. 15. Solcia D. 46. Colombini L. 81. Portanova D. 4. Potenza A. 28. Capezzi L. 23. Cangianiello S. 3. Crecco L. 16. Ricci F. 7. D'Ursi E.
Substitutes
51. Arzillo V. 20. Bentivegna A. 11. Galletta U. 9. Kallon Y. 10. Leone K. 94. Liotti D. 12. Merolla E. (G) 8. Proia F. 33. Rocchi G. 99. Saco C. 91. Vano M. 22. Vilardi A. (G) 17. Viscardi A.	20. Bernabeo S. 8. Cuccurullo M. 31. D'Aniello A. (G) 11. Esposito M. 6. Fusco F. 22. Harrasser S. (G) 85. Milan M. 32. Paglino S. 90. Sabbatani A. 29. Santini C. 18. Tonni M. 30. Vilardi M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Butic K. ⚽,
34', Diop S. 🟨,
38', Solcia D. 🟨,
44', Toscano M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Heinz J. 🟨,
55', Toscano M. ↓, Saco C. ↑,
61', Diop S. ↓, Sabbatani A. ↑,
65', Portanova D. 🟨,
71', Girelli S. 🟨,
71', Crecco L. 🟨,
71', Casarotto M. ↓, Bentivegna A. ↑,
71', Llano Massa M. T. ↓, Viscardi A. ↑,
85', Potenza A. ↓, Esposito M. ↑,
90', Butic K. ↓, Vano M. ↑,
90', Pezzella S. ↓, Proia F. ↑,
90+6', Martino P. 🟨,
90+14', Cangianiello S. ↓, Santini C. ↑,
90+19', 2 - 0, Bentivegna A. ⚽,
90+20', Bentivegna A. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Casertana won 3.

Casertana is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sorrento has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Casertana is seen as the favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Casertana won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 24:8. (average 2.4:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Casertana won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:3. (average 3.6:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Sorrento	8	6	0	2	12:7	5	18
4	Casertana	9	4	3	2	15:13	2	15

Last Results with these Odds

Sorrento - the odds 5.17 are the expected chance of winning is 17.69%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Casertana
Italian Serie C Group C
21.03.26	Atalanta U23 - Casertana	0:2 ✺
15.03.26	Casertana - Monopoli	2:1 ✺
09.03.26	Catania - Casertana	0:0 ✺
05.03.26	Casertana - Salernitana	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Siracusa - Casertana	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 WWTWL
- Sorrento FC
Italian Serie C Group C
22.03.26	Sorrento - Crotone	2:2 ✺
15.03.26	Audace Cerignola - Sorrento	3:2 ✺
08.03.26	Sorrento - Benevento	0:2 ✺
05.03.26	Latina - Sorrento	2:0 ✺
01.03.26	Nuova Cosenza - Sorrento	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
22.11.25	Sorrento - Casertana	1:2
16.03.25	Casertana - Sorrento	4:0
04.11.24	Sorrento - Casertana	1:1
27.04.24	Casertana - Sorrento	5:2
23.12.23	Sorrento - Casertana	1:1
Italian Serie D - Group G
06.04.23	Casertana - Sorrento	3:0
27.11.22	Sorrento - Casertana	2:1

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