Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP G - ROUND 14

Date: 4 December 2022, Sunday


	Casertana		Portici

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.3	3.75
	1.86	3.35	3.65
	1.86	3.34	3.63
	1.57	3.75	4.75
	1.81	3.46	3.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.59)	3.44 ↓ (3.74)	3.93 ↓ (4.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casertana
50.8%

Draw
26.3%

Portici
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

24.2%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1%

23%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casertana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Casertana's form might have worsened.

Portici has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casertana than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Casertana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portici than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Portici, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Casertana - Portici Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 7 and 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group G (Play Out)).

Recent matches Casertana is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Portici is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Casertana is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Casertana
Italian Serie D - Group G
27.11.22	Sorrento - Casertana	2:1 ✺
20.11.22	Casertana - Atletico Uri	5:3 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
16.11.22	Casertana - Real Agro Aversa	3:2 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group G
13.11.22	Casertana - Arzachena	0:0 ✺
06.11.22	Vis Artena - Casertana	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWWTT
- Portici 1906
Italian Serie D - Group G
27.11.22	Portici - Pomezia	1:1 ✺
20.11.22	Arzachena - Portici	3:0 ✺
13.11.22	Portici - Real Monterotondo	2:3 ✺
06.11.22	Tivoli Calcio - Portici	0:1 ✺
30.10.22	Portici - Cassino	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TLLWL

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