Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 8

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Alberto Pinto (Caserta)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254


	Casertana		Casarano

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.2	3.1	2.87
	2.28	3.1	3
	2.31	3.25	3.19
	2.08	3.21	3.54	Watch
	2.25	3.13	3	Watch
	2.25	3.1	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (2.22)	3.15 ↓ (3.21)	3.1 ↑ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casertana
41.2%

Draw
29.2%

Casarano
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

28.4%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

28.2%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casertana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Casarano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casertana than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casarano than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Casertana - Casarano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. De Lucia V. (G) 18. Oukhadda S. 33. Rocchi G. 13. Bacchetti L. 94. Liotti D. 25. Toscano M. 16. Pezzella S. 8. Proia F. 9. Kallon Y. (C) 90. Casarotto M. 20. Bentivegna A.	22. Chiorra N. (G) 4. Lulic K. 5. Celiento D. 24. Gega E. 77. Cajazzo I. 8. D'Alena A. 23. Logoluso G. (C) 29. Gyamfi B. 10. Chirico C. 9. Malcore G. 21. Millico V.
Substitutes
51. Arzillo V. 77. Capasso C. 29. De Liguori A. 21. Di Tommaso L. 3. Falasca M. 11. Galletta U. 28. Giugno L. 6. Heinz J. 4. Kontek I. 10. Leone K. 5. Llano Massa M. T. 12. Merolla E. (G) 91. Vano M. 22. Vilardi A. (G)	1. Bacchin F. (G) 26. Barone A. 35. Cerbone S. 99. Colazzo N. 11. Ferrara V. 19. Guastamacchia A. 17. Maiello R. 30. Malagnino D. 15. Milicevic M. 7. Palumbo F. 18. Perez L. 90. Zanaboni E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Rocchi G. 🟨,
43', Bacchetti L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Liotti D. ↓, Falasca M. ↑,
54', Proia F. 🟨,
57', Proia F. 🟥,
58', Casarotto M. ↓, Llano Massa M. T. ↑,
59', Gyamfi B. 🟨,
61', 0 - 1, Cajazzo I. ⚽,
65', Pezzella S. ↓, Vano M. ↑,
73', 0 - 2, Gyamfi B. ⚽,
77', Millico V. ↓, Ferrara V. ↑,
77', D'Alena A. ↓, Maiello R. ↑,
77', Cajazzo I. ↓, Cerbone S. ↑,
78', Toscano M. ↓, Leone K. ↑,
78', Bentivegna A. ↓, Galletta U. ↑,
82', 0 - 3, Malcore G. ⚽,
83', Malcore G. ↓, Perez L. ↑,
83', Gyamfi B. ↓, Guastamacchia A. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Casertana has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Casarano is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Casertana may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Casertana won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Casertana won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Casertana
Italian Serie C Group C
28.09.25	Crotone - Casertana	0:1 ✺
24.09.25	Foggia - Casertana	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Casertana - Nuova Cosenza	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Trapani - Casertana	2:0 ✺
06.09.25	Casertana - Potenza	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WTTLW
- Casarano Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
28.09.25	Casarano - Salernitana	2:2 ✺
24.09.25	Sorrento - Casarano	3:3 ✺
21.09.25	Casarano - Cavese	3:0 ✺
13.09.25	Picerno - Casarano	1:2 ✺
06.09.25	Casarano - Benevento	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
16.02.22	Casarano - Casertana	3:2
10.10.21	Casertana - Casarano	1:0

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