Match Info
Copa Grao Para - Semi-finalsDate: 28 February 2026, SaturdayLocation: Estádio Maximino Porpino Filho (Castanhal)
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Castanhal |
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Águia de Marabá |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.93 |
2.56 |
2.69 |
|
 |
2.89 |
2.58 |
2.79 |
 Watch |
 |
2.68 |
3.2 |
2.53 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.83 ↑
(2.17) |
2.78 ↓
(3) |
2.67 ↓
(3.19) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Castanhal
32.5% | Draw
33.1% | Águia de Marabá
34.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castanhal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Castanhal's form might have worsened.Águia de Marabá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Águia de Marabá's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castanhal than the current prediction. (+10.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Castanhal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Águia de Marabá than the current prediction. (-6.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Águia de Marabá, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Castanhal - Águia de Marabá Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - Águia de Marabá (2.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Águia de Marabá (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- Penalties (4 - 1)
- 1, (Penalty Awarded),
- 1, (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Castanhal won 0.Both teams have been playing unpredictably.Águia de Marabá may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Castanhal will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Castanhal won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 0.9:1.3).Including home matches between the teams, Castanhal won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.5:1.3).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Brazilian Campeonato Paraense | | | 02.02.25 | Castanhal - Águia de Marabá | 1:1 | | 16.04.23 | Águia de Marabá - Castanhal | 2:0 | | 08.04.23 | Castanhal - Águia de Marabá | 1:2 | | 05.02.23 | Castanhal - Águia de Marabá | 1:1 | | 22.03.22 | Castanhal - Águia de Marabá | 0:1 | | 19.03.22 | Águia de Marabá - Castanhal | 0:0 | | 20.02.22 | Águia de Marabá - Castanhal | 1:0 |
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