Match Info

Paraense - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Leonidas Sodre de Castro (Belem)


	Paysandu		Castanhal

	1	X	2
	1.41	4.05	7.3
	1.08	1.00	1.00	Watch
	1.4	3.8	8
	1.53	3.7	6.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.54)	3.14 ↓ (3.65)	5.8 ↓ (5.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paysandu
60%

Draw
25.9%

Castanhal
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.5%

25.1%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paysandu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Castanhal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Paysandu - Castanhal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Gabriel Mesquita (G) 31. Bonifazi F. 8. Caio Mello 15. Castro 2. Edilson 39. Goncalves P. 9. Italo 75. Kleiton 4. larley 10. Marcinho 19. Thayllon	1. Tom (G) 4. Braga 3. Felix M. 2. Guilherme 8. Heron B. 11. Jhonatan 9. Jorginho 15. Marcos Paulo 6. Renan 10. Romarinho 7. Santos M. (C)
Substitutes
21. Braga M. 29. Caua 17. Henrique Salomoni 1. Jean Drosny (G) 57. JP Galvao 94. Kaua Hinkel 26. Libonati 6. Lucca Carvalho 20. Matheus Capixaba 11. Peu 23. Souza B. 30. Thalyson	12. Afonso R. 14. Angulo J. 19. Arian Taperacu 18. Campos Olavarria P. P. 25. Cohen D. 22. Dudu 17. Edielson 16. Kevin Saucedo 13. Ramon Rocha 20. Ricardinho 21. Santos de Oliveira E. 5. Tamata E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', Heron B. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
37', Angulo J. 🟨,
45+5', 1 - 0, Italo ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kleiton ↓, Thalyson ↑,
56', Renan 🟨,
67', Santos M. ↓, Ricardinho ↑,
68', 🟨,
70', Bonifazi F. 🟨,
79', larley ↓, Lucca Carvalho ↑,
79', Thayllon ↓, Kaua Hinkel ↑,
88', Jhonatan ↓, Campos Olavarria P. P. ↑,
88', Italo ↓, Braga M. ↑,
90+2', 🟨,
90+3', Caio Mello ↓, Souza B. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Paraense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Paraense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paysandu won 4.

Paysandu is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Paysandu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Paysandu is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Paysandu won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 26:15. (average 1.7:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Paysandu won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:5. (average 1.9:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paysandu PA
Brazilian Campeonato Paraense
19.02.26	Paysandu - Tuna Luso Brasileira	5:1 ✺
15.02.26	Santa Rosa - Paysandu	0:2 ✺
08.02.26	Paysandu - Remo	1:1 ✺
04.02.26	Tuna Luso Brasileira - Paysandu	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	Paysandu - Capitão Poço	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWTLW
- Castanhal EC
Brazilian Campeonato Paraense
19.02.26	Capitão Poço - Castanhal	0:1 ✺
12.02.26	Castanhal - Remo	2:2 ✺
08.02.26	Castanhal - Tuna Luso Brasileira	0:1 ✺
31.01.26	Castanhal - Santa Rosa	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Grao Para
06.04.25	Tuna Luso Brasileira - Castanhal	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paraense
02.03.25	Paysandu - Castanhal	2:0
03.03.24	Paysandu - Castanhal	3:0
25.02.23	Paysandu - Castanhal	2:1
06.03.22	Castanhal - Paysandu	4:0
Brazilian Copa Verde
10.11.21	Castanhal - Paysandu	1:3
27.10.21	Paysandu - Castanhal	1:1
Brazilian Campeonato Paraense
12.05.21	Paysandu - Castanhal	2:1 penalties

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