Match Info

Copa Betano do Brasil - 1/128-finals

Date: 25 February 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estádio Maximino Porpino Filho (Castanhal) 🌤️ ...


	Castanhal		Guarani

	1	X	2
	3.9	2.85	2.01
	3.6	2.9	2.05
	3.7	3.05	2.08
	3.74	3.03	2.05
	4.18	2.86	2.06	Watch
	3.7	2.9	2.1
	3.8	3.06	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.8 ↑ (3.21)	2.95 ↓ (3.15)	2.06 ↑ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castanhal
24.2%

Draw
31.2%

Guarani
44.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27.9%

28.4%

43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

28.5%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castanhal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Guarani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castanhal than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guarani than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Castanhal - Guarani Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Guarani will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Guarani (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Daniel GTA ⚽,
23', 1 - 1, Lucca ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Penalties (5 - 3)
1, (Penalty Awarded),
1, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
5, (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Castanhal has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Guarani is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Guarani may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Guarani is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Castanhal EC
Brazilian Campeonato Paraense
22.02.26	Paysandu - Castanhal	1:0 ✺
19.02.26	Capitão Poço - Castanhal	0:1 ✺
12.02.26	Castanhal - Remo	2:2 ✺
08.02.26	Castanhal - Tuna Luso Brasileira	0:1 ✺
31.01.26	Castanhal - Santa Rosa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWTLW
- Guarani Futebol Clube
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
15.02.26	Palmeiras - Guarani	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Guarani - Botafogo SP	0:2 ✺
31.01.26	Guarani - Ponte Preta	1:0 ✺
26.01.26	Portuguesa - Guarani	0:1 ✺
22.01.26	Velo Clube - Guarani	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.3 TLWWW

Castanhal - Guarani