Match Info

ITALY: Serie D - Group F - Round 25

Date: 23 February 2025, Sunday


	Castelfidardo		Civitanovese

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.6	4.4
	1.68	3.64	4.37
	1.68	3.6	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.69)	3.61 ↑ (3.5)	4.39 ↓ (4.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castelfidardo
54.1%

Draw
25.2%

Civitanovese
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

25.9%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

25%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castelfidardo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Civitanovese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castelfidardo than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Civitanovese than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Castelfidardo - Civitanovese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Diop I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 7 and 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Civitanovese could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Castelfidardo is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Castelfidardo won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1.7:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Castelfidardo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Castelfidardo Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
16.02.25	Sambenedettese - Castelfidardo	1:1 ✺
09.02.25	Castelfidardo - Sora	2:0 ✺
02.02.25	Termoli - Castelfidardo	1:1 ✺
26.01.25	Castelfidardo - Chieti	0:1 ✺
19.01.25	Teramo - Castelfidardo	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TWTLL
- Civitanovese Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
16.02.25	Civitanovese - Ancona	1:1 ✺
02.02.25	Civitanovese - Avezzano	0:1 ✺
26.01.25	Notaresco - Civitanovese	1:2 ✺
19.01.25	Civitanovese - Roma City	0:0 ✺
12.01.25	Atletico Ascoli - Civitanovese	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia Serie D
06.11.24	Castelfidardo - Civitanovese	4:1
Italian Serie D - Group F
23.10.24	Civitanovese - Castelfidardo	0:0
08.12.16	Civitanovese - Castelfidardo	2:1

Castelfidardo - Civitanovese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide