The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Castelfidardo 21.8%
Draw 28.6%
Notaresco 49.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.5%
29%
47.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.1%
28.5%
48.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castelfidardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
Notaresco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castelfidardo than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notaresco than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Castelfidardo - Notaresco Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Abagnale G. ⚽,
45', 2 - 0, Abagnale G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Castelfidardo won 1.
Castelfidardo is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Notaresco has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
In this match, Notaresco is a strong favorite.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Castelfidardo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.6:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Castelfidardo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
Watch
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