Match Info

Date: 6 February 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Porto DAscoli		Castelfidardo

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.75	3.3
	2.25	2.75	3.3
	2.17	2.75	3.3
	2.29	2.7	3.3
	2.34	2.7	3.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.26)	2.73 (2.73)	3.33 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Porto DAscoli
40%

Draw
33%

Castelfidardo
27%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.9%

32.2%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

22.5%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Porto DAscoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Castelfidardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto DAscoli than the current prediction. (+15.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Porto DAscoli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castelfidardo than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Castelfidardo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Porto DAscoli - Castelfidardo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Play Offs and 11).

Recent matches Porto D'Ascoli is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Castelfidardo has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Castelfidardo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Castelfidardo have a series of home games.

Porto D'Ascoli will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SSD Porto DAscoli
Italian Serie D - Group F
02.02.22	Fano - Porto DAscoli	1:1 ✺
30.01.22	Matese - Porto DAscoli	1:1 ✺
22.12.21	Porto DAscoli - Vastese	1:2 ✺
19.12.21	Castelnuovo Vomano - Porto DAscoli	1:1 ✺
12.12.21	Porto DAscoli - Polisportiva Vastogirardi	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TTLTW
- Castelfidardo Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
30.01.22	Castelfidardo - Polisportiva Vastogirardi	0:0 ✺
26.01.22	Castelfidardo - Notaresco	0:1 ✺
23.01.22	Castelfidardo - Roma City	1:3 ✺
22.12.21	Nereto - Castelfidardo	1:0 ✺
19.12.21	Castelfidardo - Recanatese	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 TLLLL

Porto DAscoli - Castelfidardo

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Porto DAscoli - Castelfidardo Predictions

Preview

Form

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