The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chievo 50%
Draw 25.3%
Castellanzese 24.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.3%
25%
20.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.7%
23.9%
19.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chievo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
Castellanzese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chievo than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chievo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellanzese than the current prediction. (-5%)
Chievo - Castellanzese Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Vernocchi A. ⚽,
41', 1 - 1, D'Este N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
67', 2 - 1, D'Este N. ⚽,
83', 2 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: ) and 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )).
Chievo is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Castellanzese's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
In this match, Chievo is the team to beat.
We predict that Chievo will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Chievo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
Including home match between the teams, Chievo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
Watch
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