Match Info

Date: 6 February 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Castellanzese		Sona

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Castellanzese
39.4%

Draw
27%

Sona
33.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.8%

28.7%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

20.8%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castellanzese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Sona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellanzese than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Castellanzese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sona than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Play Out and 10).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Castellanzese won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Castellanzese
Italian Serie D - Group B
02.02.22	Vis Nova Giussano - Castellanzese	2:2 ✺
30.01.22	Castellanzese - Leon	2:1 ✺
23.01.22	Caravaggio - Castellanzese	1:4 ✺
19.01.22	Castellanzese - Arconatese	1:2 ✺
18.12.21	Franciacorta - Castellanzese	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TWWLL
- Sona Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group B
02.02.22	Sona - Sangiuliano City Nova	1:0 ✺
30.01.22	Crema - Sona	2:0 ✺
23.01.22	Sona - Desenzano Calvina	1:2 ✺
22.12.21	Brusaporto - Sona	3:2 ✺
19.12.21	Sona - Olginatese	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLLLW

Italian Serie D - Group B
03.10.21	Sona - Castellanzese	2:1

Castellanzese - Sona