Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP B - ROUND 18

Date: 8 January 2023, Sunday


	Sona		Desenzano Calvina

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.1	2.1
	3.4	3.25	1.95
	3.46	2.83	2.07
	3.4	2.9	2.05
	3.44	3.24	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.36 ↑ (2.91)	3.06 ↑ (3.05)	2.03 ↓ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sona
26.7%

Draw
29.3%

Desenzano Calvina
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

29.2%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

27.9%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Desenzano Calvina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sona than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Desenzano Calvina than the current prediction. (-2%)

Sona - Desenzano Calvina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Sona is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Desenzano is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sona won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Sona won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sona Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group B
21.12.22	Sona - Ponte San Pietro Isola	0:3 ✺
17.12.22	Real Calepina - Sona	3:1 ✺
11.12.22	Varesina - Sona	0:0 ✺
04.12.22	Sona - Seregno	0:0 ✺
27.11.22	Caronnese - Sona	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLTTL
- Desenzano Calvina
Italian Serie D - Group B
21.12.22	Seregno - Desenzano Calvina	1:3 ✺
17.12.22	Desenzano Calvina - Varesina	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
14.12.22	Cremonese - Desenzano Calvina	7:0 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group B
11.12.22	Casatese - Desenzano Calvina	3:1 ✺
04.12.22	Desenzano Calvina - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
04.09.22	Desenzano Calvina - Sona	3:0
15.05.22	Desenzano Calvina - Sona	0:0
23.01.22	Sona - Desenzano Calvina	1:2
21.03.21	Sona - Desenzano Calvina	2:1
06.12.20	Desenzano Calvina - Sona	0:1

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