Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 3 - Round 14

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday


	Poblense		Atlètic Lleida

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.5	4.55
	1.66	3.67	5.03
	1.65	3.64	4.87	Watch
	1.67	3.3	5
	1.67	3.87	4.7
	1.64	3.66	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.82)	3.61 ↑ (3.6)	4.82 ↑ (3.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Poblense
55.5%

Draw
25.5%

Atlètic Lleida
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

25.2%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

24.4%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Poblense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Poblense's performance.

Atlètic Lleida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlètic Lleida might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Poblense than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlètic Lleida than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Poblense - Atlètic Lleida Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
23', Santana A. 🟨,
39', 1 - 0, Prohens J. ⚽,
44', 2 - 0, Xesc Fullana ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
78', 3 - 0, Penyafort T. ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Poblense is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Atlètic Lleida's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Poblense is a strong favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Poblense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
30.11.25	Poblense - Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	0:0 ✺
23.11.25	Atlético Baleares - Poblense	2:1 ✺
16.11.25	Poblense - Valencia B	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Reus FC Reddis - Poblense	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Poblense - Barbastro	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TLWWW
- Atlètic Lleida
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
29.11.25	Atlètic Lleida - Atlético Baleares	0:1 ✺
22.11.25	Valencia B - Atlètic Lleida	1:0 ✺
15.11.25	Atlètic Lleida - Andratx	3:2 ✺
09.11.25	Alcoyano - Atlètic Lleida	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Atlètic Lleida - Castellon B	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLWLL

Upcoming Matches