Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 6 - Round 23

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday


	Castellonense		Alzira

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.2	5.15
	1.63	3.3	5.92	Watch
	1.57	3.3	5.75
	1.62	3.54	5.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.56)	3.34 ↓ (3.37)	5.7 ↓ (6.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Castellonense
56.5%

Draw
27.4%

Alzira
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.3%

27.4%

13.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

26.6%

12.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castellonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Alzira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellonense than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alzira than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Castellonense - Alzira Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, ⚽,
31', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
47', 2 - 1, ⚽,
66', 3 - 1, ⚽,
90+6', 4 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 15).

Castellonense is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Alzira has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Castellonense is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Castellonense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Castellonense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
16.02.26	Español de San Vicente - Castellonense	0:4 ✺
08.02.26	Castellonense - Roda	2:0 ✺
01.02.26	Recambios Colón - Castellonense	0:1 ✺
25.01.26	Castellonense - Torrellano	1:1 ✺
21.01.26	Ontinyent 1931 - Castellonense	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWWTL
- UD Alzira
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
15.02.26	Alzira - Ontinyent 1931	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	Villarreal C - Alzira	3:2 ✺
01.02.26	Alzira - La Nucía	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Crevillente Deportivo - Alzira	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Alzira - Soneja	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
29.10.25	Alzira - Castellonense	0:2
Club Friendly
25.08.23	Alzira - Castellonense	3:0

Upcoming Matches