Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 35

Date: 4 May 2024, Saturday


	Real Murcia		Castellón

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.1	2.1
	3.1	3	2.1
	3.3	3.2	2.15
	3.38	3.08	2.25
	3.32	3.09	2.19
	3.25	3.15	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 ↓ (3.27)	3.1 ↓ (3.12)	2.15 ↑ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Real Murcia
28.1%

Draw
29.5%

Castellón
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

29.3%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1%

28.4%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Castellón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Real Murcia - Castellón Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Garcia M. (G) 2. Ruiz J. 16. Rofino V. G. 6. Gonzalez A. 3. Baro M. 10. Buron L. 7. Gomez I. 8. Larrea P. 21. Pina Tomas 17. Vega D. 11. Carrillo J.	1. Crettaz G. (G) 12. Chirino D. 5. Jimenez A. 14. Gil O. (C) 16. Sanchez M. 7. Moyita S. 3. Lottin A. 11. Aurelio D. 33. Vertrouwd J. 4. Medunjanin H. 10. Sanchez R.
Substitutes
5. Abdulai S. 9. Bouzaig A. 19. Carrion J. 22. Coto E. 24. Gianni Cassaro (G) 14. Leon P. 15. Lopez A. 13. Piedra I. (G) 25. Rubio A. 26. Svidersky M.	23. Calavera J. 13. Carney J. (G) 8. Gracia J. 2. Granero B. 18. Indias I. 20. Iosifov N. 21. Kastaneer G. 29. Punzano I. 24. Schwake B. (G) 15. Traore M. 6. Veldwijk L. 19. Villahermosa D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Aurelio D. ⚽,
23', Vertrouwd J. 🟨,
25', 0 - 2, Sanchez M. ⚽,
34', Vertrouwd J. 🟨,
45', Gil O. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Pina Tomas ↓, Leon P. ↑,
51', 1 - 2, Gonzalez A. ⚽,
57', 1 - 3, Lottin A. ⚽,
60', Sanchez M. ↓, Granero B. ↑,
60', Medunjanin H. ↓, Indias I. ↑,
60', Lottin A. ↓, Calavera J. ↑,
63', 2 - 3, Carrillo J. ⚽,
65', Granero B. 🟨,
66', Vega D. ↓, Bouzaig A. ↑,
69', Carrillo J. 🟨,
80', Aurelio D. ↓, Iosifov N. ↑,
83', Ruiz J. ↓, Coto E. ↑,
85', Coto E. 🟨,
90+1', Calavera J. ↓, Villahermosa D. ↑,
90+2', Chirino D. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2).

During last matches two teams got success in matches and won.

Castellón will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Murcia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Murcia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Murcia
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
28.04.24	Real Murcia - Ceuta	1:0 ✺
21.04.24	Málaga - Real Murcia	0:0 ✺
14.04.24	Real Murcia - Melilla	2:0 ✺
07.04.24	Algeciras - Real Murcia	0:1 ✺
31.03.24	Real Murcia - Granada B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 WTWWW
- CD Castellón
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
28.04.24	Castellón - Melilla	1:0 ✺
21.04.24	Linares Deportivo - Castellón	0:1 ✺
14.04.24	Castellón - Granada B	3:0 ✺
06.04.24	Intercity - Castellón	1:2 ✺
30.03.24	Castellón - Recreativo Huelva	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
17.12.23	Castellón - Real Murcia	2:1
14.05.23	Real Murcia - Castellón	1:1
26.11.22	Castellón - Real Murcia	1:0
Spanish Copa Federacion
20.11.19	Castellón - Real Murcia	0:3 ET

Upcoming Matches