Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 33

Date: 22 April 2023, Saturday


	Castellón		Barcelona B

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.3	4.33
	1.75	3.25	4.1
	1.75	3.3	4.25
	1.81	3.38	4.61
	1.77	3.42	4.6
	1.78	3.4	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (2.22)	3.34 ↑ (3)	4.32 ↑ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castellón
51.5%

Draw
27.4%

Barcelona B
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

30.5%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

31.2%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Castellón's performance.

Barcelona B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barcelona B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Castellón that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona B than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barcelona B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Castellón - Barcelona B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Castellón won 2.

Recent matches Castellón is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Barcelona B is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Castellón is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Castellón won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Castellón won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Castellón
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
16.04.23	Sabadell - Castellón	3:1 ✺
08.04.23	Castellón - Calahorra	1:2 ✺
02.04.23	UD Logroñés - Castellón	0:1 ✺
26.03.23	Castellón - Gimnástic de Tarragona	0:0 ✺
19.03.23	Numancia - Castellón	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLWTT
- FC Barcelona B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
15.04.23	Barcelona B - SD Logroñés	3:0 ✺
09.04.23	Numancia - Barcelona B	0:0 ✺
02.04.23	Barcelona B - Atlético Baleares	2:2 ✺
25.03.23	Sabadell - Barcelona B	1:2 ✺
18.03.23	Real Unión de Irun - Barcelona B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
27.08.22	Barcelona B - Castellón	3:2
21.05.22	Barcelona B - Castellón	5:0
02.10.21	Castellón - Barcelona B	2:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
01.12.19	Barcelona B - Castellón	2:1
19.05.19	Castellón - Barcelona B	2:1
06.01.19	Barcelona B - Castellón	1:1

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