Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 31

Date: 9 April 2023, Sunday


	Numancia		Barcelona B

	1	X	2
	2.3	3	2.9
	2.3	2.85	3
	2.2	2.8	3.4
	2.47	2.89	3.21
	2.38	2.94	3.18
	2.34	3	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.42)	2.91 ↑ (2.75)	3.11 ↓ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Numancia
39.2%

Draw
31.4%

Barcelona B
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

33.3%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

34.4%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Numancia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Barcelona B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barcelona B than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Numancia - Barcelona B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Numancia won 3.

Numancia is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Barcelona B is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Barcelona B could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Numancia will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Numancia won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Numancia won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Numancia
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
02.04.23	Real Unión de Irun - Numancia	1:0 ✺
26.03.23	Numancia - Real Murcia	1:1 ✺
19.03.23	Numancia - Castellón	0:0 ✺
11.03.23	Real Sociedad B - Numancia	3:0 ✺
05.03.23	Numancia - Atlético Baleares	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LTTLT
- FC Barcelona B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
02.04.23	Barcelona B - Atlético Baleares	2:2 ✺
25.03.23	Sabadell - Barcelona B	1:2 ✺
18.03.23	Real Unión de Irun - Barcelona B	0:1 ✺
11.03.23	Barcelona B - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:0 ✺
05.03.23	Real Murcia - Barcelona B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
26.11.22	Barcelona B - Numancia	1:2
Spanish LaLiga2
11.03.18	Barcelona B - Numancia	2:2
11.10.17	Numancia - Barcelona B	1:0
19.04.15	Numancia - Barcelona B	1:0
15.11.14	Barcelona B - Numancia	1:1
06.04.14	Barcelona B - Numancia	3:0
02.11.13	Numancia - Barcelona B	1:0

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