Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 32

Date: 16 April 2023, Sunday


	Sabadell		Castellón

	1	X	2
	3.2	2.9	2.15
	3.3	2.95	2.05
	3.4	3	2.1
	3.59	2.94	2.28
	3.54	2.91	2.23
	3.3	3	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.39 ↑ (2.88)	2.95 ↑ (2.85)	2.16 ↓ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sabadell
26.9%

Draw
30.9%

Castellón
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.2%

32.5%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

32.2%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sabadell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sabadell's form might have worsened.

Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Castellón's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sabadell than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Castellón, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sabadell - Castellón Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sabadell won 1.

Sabadell is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Castellón is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Castellón will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Sabadell won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Sabadell won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sabadell FC
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
08.04.23	Sabadell - Gimnástic de Tarragona	0:1 ✺
02.04.23	Real Sociedad B - Sabadell	1:1 ✺
25.03.23	Sabadell - Barcelona B	1:2 ✺
18.03.23	Athletic Bilbao B - Sabadell	2:2 ✺
12.03.23	Sabadell - Real Murcia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LTLTT
- CD Castellón
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
08.04.23	Castellón - Calahorra	1:2 ✺
02.04.23	UD Logroñés - Castellón	0:1 ✺
26.03.23	Castellón - Gimnástic de Tarragona	0:0 ✺
19.03.23	Numancia - Castellón	0:0 ✺
12.03.23	Castellón - Alcoyano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
04.09.22	Castellón - Sabadell	3:1
12.03.22	Sabadell - Castellón	1:3
19.12.21	Castellón - Sabadell	0:1
Spanish LaLiga2
13.03.21	Castellón - Sabadell	2:1
19.12.20	Sabadell - Castellón	1:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
12.01.20	Castellón - Sabadell	0:1
25.08.19	Sabadell - Castellón	0:2

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