The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Huesca 19.6%
Draw 22.6%
Castellón 57.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.2%
25.7%
51.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.7%
25.1%
52.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Huesca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Castellón's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Huesca than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Castellón, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
21.1%
5.3%
73.7%
Huesca - Castellón Predictions
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Huesca will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). Castellón will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Castellón: 53.9% – 93.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Martin D. (G) 6. Mier J. 4. Carrillo A. 14. Pulido J. (C) 8. Martin J. 23. Sielva O. 5. Pina 16. Alvarez J. 33. Luna D. 9. Enrich S. 20. Portillo F.
13. Matthys R. (G) 18. Santiago P. 5. Jimenez A. (C) 3. Brignani F. 4. Sienra A. 21. Calatrava A. 15. Gerenabarrena B. 8. Barri 16. Cipenga B. 9. Camara O. 19. Jakobsen A.
Substitutes
3. Abajas R. 22. Agbekpornu M. 17. Alonso J. 34. Aznar M. 11. Beltran L. 15. Cantero A. 7. Escobar J. 12. Fernandez J. 21. Ojeda D. 1. Perez Juan (G) 18. Rodriguez E. 10. Seoane J.
1. Abedzadeh A. (G) 12. Alcazar L. 11. Aurelio D. 6. Doue M. 23. Garcia A. 7. Mabil A. 25. Ronaldo 17. Ruiz S. 14. Sanchez R. 10. Suero I. 2. Tincho 55. Willman M.
Coaches
Oltra J.
Hernandez P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', Martin J. 🟨,
54', Pina 🟨,
56', Alvarez J. ↓, Rodriguez E. ↑,
56', Enrich S. ↓, Escobar J. ↑,
62', Pulido J. 🟨,
63', 0 - 1, Camara O. ⚽, Jimenez A. (A),
67', Luna D. ↓, Cantero A. ↑,
67', Martin J. ↓, Beltran L. ↑,
71', Barri ↓, Doue M. ↑,
71', Camara O. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
71', Jakobsen A. ↓, Ronaldo ↑,
79', Pina ↓, Ojeda D. ↑,
84', Calatrava A. ↓, Suero I. ↑,
90', Santiago P. ↓, Willman M. ↑,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Huesca won 2.
Huesca is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Castellón's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Castellón may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Castellón is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Huesca: Aznar D.
(Knee Injury)
Jimenez D.
(Red Card)
There are questionable in Huesca: Beltran L.
(Inactive)
Fernandez J.
(Thigh Injury)
There are questionable in Castellón: Mellot J.
(Injury)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Huesca won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:8. (average 1.2:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Huesca won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Castellon
8
6
2
0
15:3
12
20
Last Results with these Odds
Castellón - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 51.12%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.