Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 10 - Round 13Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Conil |
|
Castilleja |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.65 |
3.35 |
4.85 |
|
 |
1.57 |
3.62 |
5.73 |
|
 |
1.72 |
3.4 |
4.75 |
 Watch |
 |
1.62 |
3.3 |
5.5 |
|
 |
1.69 |
3.34 |
4.8 |
|
 |
1.66 |
3.33 |
5 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.65 ↓
(1.79) |
3.39 ↓
(3.45) |
5.11 ↑
(4) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Conil
55.2% | Draw
26.9% | Castilleja
17.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Conil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)Castilleja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Conil than the current prediction. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castilleja than the current prediction. (+3.7%)Conil - Castilleja Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 4', 0 - 1, Paez A. ⚽,
- 38', Albi 🟥,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 56', 0 - 2, ⚽,
- 59', 1 - 2, ⚽,
- 81', 2 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 17 in the zone Relegation).Conil is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).Castilleja has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0). In this match, Conil is seen as the favorite.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Conil won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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