Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 10 - Round 11Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Conil |
|
Ceuta B |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.78 |
2.98 |
2.42 |
|
 |
2.91 |
2.92 |
2.5 |
|
 |
7.80 |
3.85 |
1.44 |
 Watch |
 |
2.3 |
3.1 |
2.9 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.95 ↑
(2.22) |
3.21 ↑
(3.1) |
2.32 ↓
(2.96) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Conil
25.4% | Draw
31.2% | Ceuta B
43.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Conil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Conil's form might have worsened.Ceuta B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ceuta B's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Conil than the current prediction. (+16.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Conil, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceuta B than the current prediction. (-13.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ceuta B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Conil - Ceuta B Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 12', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 62', 0 - 2, ⚽,
- 84', 🟥,
- 84', 🟥,
- 90+6', 🟥,
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 7).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Conil won 1.Conil is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).Ceuta B's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2). In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Conil won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 4:12. (average 0.5:1.5).Including home matches between the teams, Conil won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10 | | | 15.03.25 | Ceuta B - Conil | 2:0 | | 02.11.24 | Conil - Ceuta B | 0:1 | | 03.03.24 | Conil - Ceuta B | 0:0 | | 22.10.23 | Ceuta B - Conil | 2:1 | | 04.02.23 | Conil - Ceuta B | 3:0 | | 08.10.22 | Ceuta B - Conil | 3:0 | | 05.03.22 | Conil - Ceuta B | 0:2 |
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