Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 26Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday
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Castro |
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Bezana |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.08 |
3 |
3.3 |
|
 |
2.32 |
2.98 |
3.14 |
|
 |
1.94 |
3.18 |
3.98 |
 Watch |
 |
2.3 |
2.75 |
3.2 |
|
 |
2.27 |
2.92 |
3.15 |
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 |
1.8 |
3.45 |
3.95 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.12 ↑
(1.8) |
3.05 ↓
(3.45) |
3.45 ↓
(3.95) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Castro
43.3% | Draw
30.1% | Bezana
26.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Castro's form might have worsened.Bezana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castro than the current prediction. (+10.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Castro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bezana than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bezana, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Castro - Bezana Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 28', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 63', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 77', 1 - 2, ⚽,
- 82', 2 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 11).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Castro won 1.Castro has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).Bezana is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).Castro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.Recently, Castro has had a series of home games. In this match, Castro is considered a favorite.In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Castro won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1:1.3).Including home matches between the teams, Castro won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 2 | Bezana | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 11:3 | 8 | 15 |
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| 11 | Castro | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 5 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3 | | | 01.11.25 | Bezana - Castro | 2:1 | | 23.03.25 | Bezana - Castro | 1:1 | | 10.11.24 | Castro - Bezana | 1:1 | | 21.04.24 | Castro - Bezana | 3:0 | | 02.12.23 | Bezana - Castro | 1:0 | | 29.05.21 | Bezana - Castro | 3:0 |
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