Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 21Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday
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 |
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 |
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|
Castro |
|
Cayón |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
3.15 |
3.05 |
2.15 |
|
 |
3.28 |
3.07 |
2.2 |
|
 |
3.17 |
3.37 |
2.11 |
 Watch |
 |
3.25 |
2.88 |
2.2 |
|
 |
3.25 |
3.25 |
2.2 |
|
 |
3.2 |
3 |
2.2 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.22 ↑
(2.84) |
3.1 ↓
(3.25) |
2.18 ↓
(2.28) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Castro
28.5% | Draw
29.5% | Cayón
42.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)Cayón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castro than the current prediction. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cayón than the current prediction. (-1%)Castro - Cayón Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 69', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 82', 2 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 3 (Play Offs: )).Castro is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).Cayón is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).Cayón may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.Recently, Castro has had a series of away games. In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Castro won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.8:1.6).Including home matches between the teams, Castro won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 5 | Cayon | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 10 |
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| 11 | Castro | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 5 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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