Match Info
SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 3 - ROUND 9Date: 5 November 2023, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Castro |
|
Velarde |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.1 |
3.1 |
3.1 |
|
 |
2.12 |
3.18 |
3.18 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.11 ↓
(2.12) |
3.14 ↓
(3.18) |
3.14 ↓
(3.18) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Castro
42.7% | Draw
28.7% | Velarde
28.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Velarde has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castro than the current prediction. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Velarde than the current prediction. (+1.1%) 
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Preview
In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 15). Recent matches Castro is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2). Velarde is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1). Castro could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents. Castro will have a mini benefit in this match.
Recently, the teams did not play each other.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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