Match Info

Serie D - Group I - Round 5

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday


	Castrumfavara		Avola

	1	X	2
	2.65	2.95	2.45
	2.12	3.05	3.00
	2.70	2.97	2.47
	2.36	3.16	2.84	Watch
	2.65	2.90	2.40
	2.83	3.24	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2.33)	3.05 ↓ (3.15)	2.6 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castrumfavara
35.5%

Draw
29.7%

Avola
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

29.1%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castrumfavara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Avola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Castrumfavara - Avola Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Castrumfavara could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Castrumfavara is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Calcio Avola	6	4	0	2	9:10	-1	12
14	Castrumfavara	6	1	1	4	5:7	-2	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Castrumfavara
Italian Serie D - Group I
20.09.26	Modica - Castrumfavara	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Castrumfavara - Milazzo	3:0 ✺
03.05.26	Castrumfavara - Enna	2:2 ✺
19.04.26	Castrumfavara - Gela	3:1 ✺
12.04.26	Athletic Palermo - Castrumfavara	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 LWTWW
- Calcio Avola
Italian Serie D - Group I
20.09.26	Avola - Nissa	4:2 ✺
16.09.26	Reggina - Avola	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WL

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