Match Info

Serie D - Group I - Round 4

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday


	Modica		Castrumfavara

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.20	3.10
	1.95	3.25	3.25
	2.14	3.35	3.06	Watch
	2.03	3.20	3.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.42)	3.25 ↑ (3.1)	3.18 ↑ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Modica
44%

Draw
27.7%

Castrumfavara
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

29%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Modica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Modica's performance.

Castrumfavara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Castrumfavara might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Modica - Castrumfavara Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
78', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Modica may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Modica	6	2	1	3	6:5	1	7
14	Castrumfavara	6	1	1	4	5:7	-2	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Modica Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group I
16.09.26	Sambiase - Modica	1:0 ✺
13.09.26	Modica - Reggina	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LL
- ASD Castrumfavara
Italian Serie D - Group I
06.09.26	Castrumfavara - Milazzo	3:0 ✺
03.05.26	Castrumfavara - Enna	2:2 ✺
19.04.26	Castrumfavara - Gela	3:1 ✺
12.04.26	Athletic Palermo - Castrumfavara	0:3 ✺
02.04.26	Castrumfavara - Acireale	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 WTWWT

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